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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: 505,000

Blog: Calculated Risk - November 19, 2009

Seasonally adjusted initial claims were 505,000, unchanged from the previous week's revised figure of 505,000.

Continued claims are 5,611,000, a decrease of 39,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 5,650,000.

Saturday	Friday	Thursday	Wednesday	Tuesday	Monday	Sunday
				17 Industrial output growth slows, inflation quiet Industrial output growth slows, inflation quiet Lacker: Patches of lingering weakness shouldn't stop rate hike Audit Faults New York Fed in AIG Bailout Understanding the AIG decision	16 World Out of Balance World Out of Balance China Diverts Attention from Its Currency Manipulation Retail Sales Increase in October How Did The Commercial Real Estate Buble Develop	15
14	13 Euro Zone Officially Out of Recession Euro Zone Officially Out of Recession Trade Deficit Increases in September FHA: "Too many homeowners not equipped for home ownership" Free to Lose	12 Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: 502,000 Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: 502,000 Hands of Fate Diverge at Sealy and Simmons Hewlett-Packard to Acquire 3Com Economic Outlook: Possible Upside Surprises, Downside Risks	11	10 Charts: 30 Years Of Unemployment Charts: 30 Years Of Unemployment State & Local Taxes Plummet Justices Hear Patent Case on Protecting the Abstract European Commission objects to Sun-Oracle deal	9 Summary and a Look Ahead Summary and a Look Ahead A global problem with no solution Economists Seek to Fix a Defect in Data That Overstates the Nation’s Vigor Citigroup Asset Guarantees May Cost U.S. Taxpayers	8
7	6 Employment Report: 190,000 Jobs Lost, 10.2% Unemployment Employment Report: 190,000 Jobs Lost, 10.2% Unemployment Employment-Population Ratio, Record Part Time Workers, Weak Holiday Hiring The "Real" Unemployment Rate Is 17.5% The Fantasy of the Clearing House Magic Bullet	5 Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: 512,000 Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: 512,000 To Rein In Pay, Rein In Wall St. Worst Idea of 2009 Sympathy for the Treasury	4 ISM Services Index in U.S. Unexpectedly Decreased ISM Services Index in U.S. Unexpectedly Decreased The ISM Services Index Stops Rebounding Financial Regulation: How would you have it work? IMF: It's Time To Jack Up Interest Rates	3 Berkshire to Buy Burlington Northern for $34 Billion Berkshire to Buy Burlington Northern for $34 Billion Lloyds and RBS cut down to size Loan quality is poor and continues to deteriorate Bullish data, recoveries, crashes and the psychology of forecasting redux	2 WaMu: Hometown bank turned predatory WaMu: Hometown bank turned predatory It is Japan we should be worrying about, not America Roubini Predicts "Mother of All Carry Trade Unwinds" U.K.: Breaking up Lloyds and RBS	1

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Accrued Interest Covering the bond market with great insight. Needs more StarWars references.	Alea How did that treasury auction do today? And what does it say about the state of the markets? Alea is the best play-by-play announcer for this game we refer to as the economy.	All About Alpha Hedge fund and investing blog - advanced.
Alphaville Global finance blog from FT.	Capital Chronicle Focuses on US & UK 'small cap' but the general commentary is great.	Clusterstock Henry Blodget and company provide analysis, financial models, news, commentary, and Eliot Spitzer jokes.
Felix Salmon Felix has moved from Portfolio.com to Reuters. He's been one of the great chroniclers of the financial crisis, and has only gotten better over time.	Floyd Norris Blog from the NYT’s chief financial correspondent.	Go West Fortune's Adam Lashinsky blogs on finance from a west coast perspective.
Investing Insights Business Weeks investing blog.	IU Blog The Index Universe blog - quite good.	Market Movers Salmon can make ten posts in a day: moving as fast as the market.
Morningstar Community Various blogs hosted by the fund rater: some diamonds in the rough.	Naked Capitalism A hodge podge of business and economics related posts. Always interesting.	Seeking Alpha The top investments blog.
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Adam Smith Institute Blog Free market European think tank.	Asymmetrical Information Megan McArdle's blog is both intelligent and accessible. An economist's view of policy issues.	Economist´s View Mark Thoma discusses articles and academic papers. He reminds us that economics isn’t all investments and profits. He covers the social side as well.
Free Exchange Blog A blog by The Economist.	Paul Krugman's Blog The Professor. NYT columnist, John Bates Clark winner, etc.	Robert Reich's Blog The former Secretary of Labor's Blog looks at policy from a left-of-center perspective, but don't dismiss his insight as political.
WSJ Washington Wire Normally MT doesn't do politics (as opposed to policy), but this blog covers many regulatory issues.
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Calculated Risk CR & Tanta know real estate finance and the mortgage industry as well as any bloggers on the web. A must-read for understanding the mortgage meltdown.	Hot Property Business Week blog covering the housing market.	WSJ Developments WSJ tracks the housing market.
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Garmentos Fortune's Suzanne Kapner blogs the apparel industry and its retail partners.	Shop Talk Reuters on the retail industry.
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Tax Foundation Blog Non-partisan tax blog.	TaxProf Everything tax and tax law related.
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Big Tech Fortune's Jon Fortt blogs the large technology firms.	Daily Brief Brief posts on business and technology.	Digital Daily Technology business commentary.
Tech Dirt Good tid-bits and thoughts: technology business news	Tech Land Fortune blog mostly covers the consumer electronics business.	Tech Observer Technology and business.
Tech Trader Daily Barron's - Brief technology news for investors.	WSJ Business Technology WSJ on business technology.

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Abnormal Returns The classic linkfest.	Bank of England Reports and Publications Insight and data from the central bank.	Federal Reserve – Speeches and Press Releases Bernanke and company’s pronouncements and prognostications.
Social Science Research Network Academic research in economics and finance – working papers.	VOX Policy analysis from leading economists.

Saturday	Friday	Thursday	Wednesday	Tuesday	Monday	Sunday
31	30	29	28 Bill Seeks to Shift Rescue Costs to Big Banks Bill Seeks to Shift Rescue Costs to Big Banks Too Big to Fail: Cut the chatter Red Two! U.S. Goods Orders Rise for Fourth Time in Six Months New Home Sales Decrease in September	27 Case-Shiller Home Price Index Increases in August Case-Shiller Home Price Index Increases in August Bonds and the US Dollar New York Fed’s Secret Choice to Pay for Swaps Hits Taxpayers The Amazing Round Trip Of House Prices	26 U.S. Considers Reining In ‘Too Big to Fail’ Institutions U.S. Considers Reining In ‘Too Big to Fail’ Institutions China's Weakening Yuan Has Asian Neighbors Freaking Out After Reform Passes New Housing Starts	25
24	23 Existing Home Sales Increase in September Existing Home Sales Increase in September Bank Loss Reserves: Not an easy challenge The Chinese Disconnect Here Comes The Great Wall Of Money	22 The Global Surfeit of Savings Caused the Financial Crisis The Global Surfeit of Savings Caused the Financial Crisis Weekly Unemployment Claims Increase to 531,000 The auto bailout: How we did it The Problem is Not TBTF, but TDTR	21 Volcker Fails to Sell a Bank Strategy Volcker Fails to Sell a Bank Strategy Paul Volcker, Mervyn King, Glass Steagall and the Real TBTF Problem Rising Debt a Threat to Japanese Economy Home Buyer Tax Credit Renewal DOA?	20 Housing Starts in September: Moving Sideways Housing Starts in September: Moving Sideways Producer Prices Fall, Indicating Sluggish Wholesale Demand CRE Off 3% in August How Moody's sold its ratings - and sold out investors	19	18
17	16 Citi Conference Call Comments on Impact of HAMP Citi Conference Call Comments on Impact of HAMP J.P. Morgan vs. Citigroup: Boy, it's lucky you had these compartments Bill Shields Most Banks From Review Production in US Increases More Than Anticipated	15 Weekly Unemployment Claims Decline to 514,000 Weekly Unemployment Claims Decline to 514,000 Consumer Prices Increased at Slower Pace Foreclosures Hit All-Time High Public Option Is Next Big Hurdle in Health Debate	14 Retail Sales Decrease in September Retail Sales Decrease in September JPMorgan Profit Surpasses Estimates on Fixed Income Mortgage modification datapoint of the day, Ocwen edition Does Banking Contribute to the Good of Society?	13 CIT Nears Bankruptcy, CEO to Resign CIT Nears Bankruptcy, CEO to Resign Debt Monetization: He's heading for that small moon Falling Unemployment Rate Prerequisite for Rate Increase Credit Tightens for Small Businesses	12 The OTHER Economic Crisis? The OTHER Economic Crisis? Dollar Reaches Breaking Point as Banks Shift Reserves Is a Weaker Dollar What the Doctor Ordered? Two Americans Share Nobel in Economics	11
10	9 US Mortgage Backer May Need Bailout US Mortgage Backer May Need Bailout Now This Is One Overvalued Market US Trade Deficit Unexpectedly Falls as Exports Rise FHA Bailout Seen	8 Weekly Unemployment Claims: 521,000 Weekly Unemployment Claims: 521,000 Retail Sales Beat Expectations In September Health Care Bill Gets Green Light in Cost Analysis Baucuscare: Score!	7 Fed Worries about CRE Grow Fed Worries about CRE Grow Plunging Rents Will Drag House Prices Down With Them Federal Pre-emption Led to More Mortgage Defaults Stiglitz Says Bank Stress Tests May Not Reflect Industry Health	6 Why we were right not to nationalize the banks Why we were right not to nationalize the banks NRF Forecasts 1% Decline in Holiday Retail Sales Health Insurance Exchanges: Will They Work? A Texas-Sized Health Care Failure	5 What sort of future is the stock market discounting right now? What sort of future is the stock market discounting right now? Buyout Firms Profited as a Company’s Debt Soared Cheap Money Encouraged PE Firms To Destroy Old Companies Wall Street’s Near-Death Experience	4
3	2 Employment Report: 263,000 Jobs Lost, 9.8% Unemployment Rate Employment Report: 263,000 Jobs Lost, 9.8% Unemployment Rate Unemployment Charts (Not Pretty) Mission Not Accomplished The recession is over but the depression has just begun	1 Weekly Unemployment Claims: 551,000 Weekly Unemployment Claims: 551,000 August PCE and Saving Rate Swiss Health Care Thrives Without Public Option The Swiss Model Is A Pipe Dream For US Healthcare

Saturday	Friday	Thursday	Wednesday	Tuesday	Monday	Sunday
			30 Confident? What know you of confident? Confident? What know you of confident? FDIC Paints Terrifying Picture Of Bank Health Senators Reject Pair of Public Option Proposals US GDP Shrank 0.7% in Q2, Revised Upward	29 House Prices Increase Again in July House Prices Increase Again in July Taxing Banks to Prevent, Future Bailouts A Jedi can feel the Force flowing through him PIMCO: Personal Saving Rate to Exceed 8%	28 Fed Held Back as Evidence Mounted on Subprime Loan Abuses Fed Held Back as Evidence Mounted on Subprime Loan Abuses G-20 Plans to End ‘Financial Balance of Terror’ New Short-term Borrowing Rules being considered for Banks New Rules for High-Cost Mortgages to Take Effect	27
26	25 Equities carry too much risk Equities carry too much risk In Defense Of Securitization Durable Goods Orders off 2.4% in August Vanilla Products, Eulogy	24 Weekly Unemployment Claims Decline to 530,000 Weekly Unemployment Claims Decline to 530,000 Fed to Lower Safety Net, but Gingerly White House Pares Its Financial Reform Plan Opacity and Bank Fees	23 With a Receptive White House, Labor Begins to Line Up Battles With a Receptive White House, Labor Begins to Line Up Battles The New Panic: Delayed Wave Of Foreclosures! U.S. Hopes for Global Accord on Financial Reforms How Government Aid Is Pushing Banks Off A Cliff	22 FDIC May Borrow Funds From Banks FDIC May Borrow Funds From Banks With each passing moment you make yourself more my servant Fed Growth Effort May Be Undermined by Tight Credit FDIC saw risks at IndyMac in 2002	21 Housing facing a triple whammy at end of year Housing facing a triple whammy at end of year Reform or Bust A couple of Bullish Views Strategic Default Data Suggests Foreclosure Prevention Tactics Useless	20
19	18 Baucus and the Threshold Baucus and the Threshold Wells' CRE Ticking Time Bomb Wells Fargo Sitting On A Volcano A Better Way To Reform Wall Street	17 Weekly Unemployment Claims: Stuck at High Level Weekly Unemployment Claims: Stuck at High Level Will Peak Oil Pricing = Perma Recession? Are You Ready To Pay $31,000 For Health Insurance? Citing Risks, U.S. Seeks New Rules for Niche Banks	16 Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization Increase in August Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization Increase in August Consumer Prices in U.S. Increased 0.4% in August Fight Looms in Congress on Tax Break for Home Buyers The Housing Tax Credit Debate	15 Retail Sales increase in August Retail Sales increase in August Murder-Suicide in Chimerica Assessing the Recent Performance of the Fed For Obama, a Chance to Reform the Street Is Fading	14 China-U.S. Trade Dispute Has Broad Implications China-U.S. Trade Dispute Has Broad Implications Stiglitz Says Banking Problems Are Now Bigger Than Pre-Lehman We Can Break Up the Giant Banks Two Minds on Commercial Real Estate	13
12	11 Obama’s Healthcare Speech: Soaring Rhetoric, Scant Imagination Obama’s Healthcare Speech: Soaring Rhetoric, Scant Imagination Lehman’s Last Contribution to Society: A Lesson on Social Insurance Journalism Online’s charging clients a 20% commission Real Median Household Income Fell 3.6%	10 Google to jump into micropayments Google to jump into micropayments Trade Deficit Increases in July As an Exotic Mortgage Resets, Payments Skyrocket Fitch on Option ARM Recasts	9	8 Analysts and Economists Disagree on Growth Analysts and Economists Disagree on Growth Fatter capital rules mean lean times for big banks They just aren't in demand anymore The World Economy Has Improved	7	6
5	4	3	2	1 Henry Paulson’s Longest Night Henry Paulson’s Longest Night Manufacturing in U.S. Expands Pending Home Sales Increase in July August Economic Summary in Graphs

Saturday	Friday	Thursday	Wednesday	Tuesday	Monday	Sunday
					31 As Big Banks Repay Bailout Money, U.S. Sees a Profit As Big Banks Repay Bailout Money, U.S. Sees a Profit Bogus Reporting: US Sees a Profit on Bailouts Too Big to Fail? Make ‘em Even Bigger! Don't Waste Your Time Reading The Peak-Oil Deniers	30
29	28 July PCE and Saving Rate July PCE and Saving Rate For FDIC, a long tunnel and little light Till Debt Does Its Part U.S. Consumer Spending Climbs on Cash for Clunkers	27 Weekly Unemployment Claims: 570,000 Weekly Unemployment Claims: 570,000 2nd Cut at Q2 GDP Unchanged: -1% New Rules Restrict Bank Sales Coming Soon: The Alt-A Mortgage Reset Bomb	26 A comment on House Prices A comment on House Prices The Ultimate False Bottom In Housing Real Choice? It’s Off Limits in Health Bills Case-Shiller House Prices and Stress Test Scenarios	25 Obama Will Reappoint Bernanke Obama Will Reappoint Bernanke Home Prices Rise Again In June! The health-care industry: poor service and irregular quality at astonishingly high cost Proof banks are sitting on severely delinquent home loans	24 Death of the Consumer Death of the Consumer Should banks extend and pretend? Krugman: Economy in "Purgatory" New credit scoring model may boost some borrowers' scores	23
22	21 New Bubble Threatens a V-Shaped Rebound New Bubble Threatens a V-Shaped Rebound The Asian savings glut hypothesis, and why it matters Is Finance Inefficient or Too Efficient? Prime Mortgage Foreclosures Outpacing Subprime!	20 Another Increease in Weekly Unemployment Claims, Workers Exhausting Benefits Another Increease in Weekly Unemployment Claims, Workers Exhausting Benefits US to study impact of new 'off balance sheet' rules Bernanke, a Hero to His Own, Can’t Shake Critics Health Care Reform and single payer – an Australian perspective	19 The Highest P/E Ever! The Highest P/E Ever! Bearish on Banking, Bullish on Brokerages In Appraisal Shift, Lenders Gain Power and Critics Debate's Path Caught Obama by Surprise	18 Alternate Plan as Health Option Muddies Debate Alternate Plan as Health Option Muddies Debate Democrats Urge Obama to Keep Government-Run Health-Plan Option Public Option versus Co-ops: The Market Test Producer Prices in U.S. Decline More Than Forecast	17 The nexus between US share options and share buybacks The nexus between US share options and share buybacks World Trade Bottoms Empire State Manufacturing "Improved" FDIC Coffers Down To $13 Billion	16
15	14 Next Bubble to Burst Is Banks’ Big Loan Values Next Bubble to Burst Is Banks’ Big Loan Values The New Bull Market Fallacy U.S. Consumer Prices Unchanged Teetering on Failure, but Meeting Standards	13 Weekly Unemployment Claims Increase Weekly Unemployment Claims Increase Retail Sales Decline Slightly in July A Century-Old Principle: Keep Corporate Money Out of Elections The Case Against Apple–in Five Parts	12 Economists Call for Bernanke to Stay, Say Recession Is Over Economists Call for Bernanke to Stay, Say Recession Is Over How banks give up trust for money Obama Drops The Hammer On Credit Default Swaps Traders Madoff Aide Reveals Details of Ponzi Scheme	11 Stimulus Funds Bring Relief to States, but What About 2010? Stimulus Funds Bring Relief to States, but What About 2010? Fed Poised to Halt Treasury Purchases Soon CIT delays report, could have to file for bankruptcy Judge Takes SEC and Bank of America Lawyers to Woodshed Over Merrill Bonus Settlement	10 Taking a Closer Look at NFP Taking a Closer Look at NFP Averting the Worst Research on Homeownership Rate through 2030 Jamie Dimon Wants TARP Warrants Auctioned	9
8	7 Employment Report: 247K Jobs Lost, 9.4% Unemployment Rate Employment Report: 247K Jobs Lost, 9.4% Unemployment Rate The Health Insurers Have Already Won Democrats Say No to Cost Cap for Drug Makers Economists See a Limited Boost From Stimulus	6 Weekly Unemployment Claims Fall to 550,000 Weekly Unemployment Claims Fall to 550,000 Deceived at the Margins You Do Not Have Health Insurance ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Shows Contraction in July	5 Bair Stuffs Geithner, Fights Back Against Obama Reforms Bair Stuffs Geithner, Fights Back Against Obama Reforms S.E.C. Starts Crackdown on ‘Flash’ Trading ADP: US Companies Decreased Payrolls by 371,000 Congressional Legislation	4 June PCE and Personal Saving June PCE and Personal Saving Andy Xie: China Is A Ponzi Scheme Is the Equity Risk Premium Actually Zero? FDIC Slams Banks For Not Recognizing Losses	3 U.S. Manufacturing Shrank Less Than Forecast in July U.S. Manufacturing Shrank Less Than Forecast in July Unconscionable Math GDP Worse, Not Better,Than Expected July Economic Summary in Graphs	2
1

Saturday	Friday	Thursday	Wednesday	Tuesday	Monday	Sunday
	31 Contraction Slows: Q2 GDP at -1% Contraction Slows: Q2 GDP at -1% The Investment Slump in Q2 Housing Bottom: The Mother Of All Head Fakes Mortgage Loss Mitigation Statistics	30 Weekly Unemployment Claims Up: 584,000 Weekly Unemployment Claims Up: 584,000 Lucrative Fees May Deter Efforts to Alter Loans Argument the Recovery will be Strong Argument the Recovery will be Weak	29 A Comment on Seasonal Adjustments A Comment on Seasonal Adjustments Orders for Durable Goods Fell Sharply in June Have we wasted our crisis? Microsoft and Yahoo Reach Deal on Search Partnership	28 Case-Shiller House Price Index with Seasonal Adjustment Case-Shiller House Price Index with Seasonal Adjustment Housing: Remember the Two Bottoms! Is Wall Street Picking Our Pockets? U.S. Pays $2.5 Trillion for Care Costing $912 Billion	27 The Future of Universal Health Care, as of Now The Future of Universal Health Care, as of Now Health Insurance "Innovation" The End Of The End Of The Recession New Home Sales increase in June	26
25	24 Stock Traders Find Speed Pays, in Milliseconds Stock Traders Find Speed Pays, in Milliseconds Goldman's Mega Profits Didn't Come From High-Frequency Front Running Existing Home Sales increase in June A German Import That Could Help U.S. Health Reform	23 Weekly Unemployment Claims: 554,000 Weekly Unemployment Claims: 554,000 California's Budget: Unfortunate that I know the truth? More Cost Cuts Sought From Drug Industry Does Securitization Affect Loan Modifications?	22 Bait and switch: How the 'public option' was sold Bait and switch: How the 'public option' was sold Folks, These Companies Are MISSING Earnings Looking for an exit The Latest Wall Street Trading Scam	21 Bernanke: The Fed’s Exit Strategy Bernanke: The Fed’s Exit Strategy How Bernanke Plans To Avoid Zimbabwe-Like Inflation California Reaches Budget Deal, With Billions Cut Caterpillar Profit Exceeds Estimates; Shares Rise	20 CIT Is Said to Obtain Urgent Loan to Prevent Bankruptcy CIT Is Said to Obtain Urgent Loan to Prevent Bankruptcy CIT kicks the ball down the road 7 Reasons Why Housing Isn’t Bottoming Yet Leading Index Shows Recession May Be Nearing End	19
18	17 Bank of America Posts Profit Drop, Sees Weak Economy Bank of America Posts Profit Drop, Sees Weak Economy Citi Sees Profits Thanks To Smith Barney Sale The real price of Goldman’s giganto-profits The Wall Street Journal Goes After Goldman and the Bank Bailout	16 Why We Must Ration Health Care Why We Must Ration Health Care Weekly Unemployment Claims Decline to 522,000 CIT Group Needs $6 Billion to Avoid Bankruptcy Philadelphia Factory Gauge Falls	15 Bair, Bernanke Push to Toughen Plan to Curb Biggest U.S. Banks Bair, Bernanke Push to Toughen Plan to Curb Biggest U.S. Banks Consumer Prices Gain 0.7%; Core Rate Rises 0.2% Industrial Production Declines, Capacity Utilization at Record Low in June Mortgages Are Now a Bank’s Best Friend	14 U.S. Producer Prices Rose in June as Gasoline Surged U.S. Producer Prices Rose in June as Gasoline Surged Retail Sales Up a Bit in June Partial recovery will mean new lows for stocks Option ARMs Performing Worse than Subprime	13 How globalisation led to universal banking in America How globalisation led to universal banking in America Why Mortgage Mods Aren't Working Researchers: Few Preventable Foreclosures Why Berkshire’s cutting back on reinsurance	12
11	10 Banks' overdraft loans irk consumers Banks' overdraft loans irk consumers Whip Healthcare Inflation Now Democrats Are at Odds on Financing Health Care Rationing Health Care: What Does It Mean?	9 U.S. Unveils More Frugal Bank Plan U.S. Unveils More Frugal Bank Plan Weekly Unemployment Claims Decline, Record Continuing Claims CIT Debt Plunges as Traders Bet Lender Isn’t Too Big to Fail We've Wiped Out All The New Jobs Of The 21st Century	8 More Evidence of the Foreclosure Backlog More Evidence of the Foreclosure Backlog Why Big Capital Markets Players Are Unmanageable Did China Just Arrest Four Australian Execs For Snubbing Them On A Deal? Apartment Vacancy Rate at 22 Year High	7 Turning a Corner? Turning a Corner? US consumers fall behind on loans at record pace Health Co-op Offers Model for Overhaul Oil, Gas Market Speculation May Face Restrictions	6 Court Ruling Clears Path for G.M. to Restructure Court Ruling Clears Path for G.M. to Restructure Earnings Drop Worldwide as Job Losses Hurt Consumers Why Was Weak Employment A Surprise? Subprime and Alt-A Loss Severity Hits 64.7% in June	5
4	3	2 Employment Report: 467K Jobs Lost, 9.5% Unemployment Rate Employment Report: 467K Jobs Lost, 9.5% Unemployment Rate Employment-Population Ratio, Part Time Workers, Hours Worked Unemployment: Stress Test Scenarios, Diffusion Index, Weekly Claims NFP Data Dissection	1 Bank Woes Deepening in Europe Bank Woes Deepening in Europe Employment: ADP Report at -473,000 One graph to rule them all IOU

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